Author(s):
Secondary Title
Springer International Publishing
Abstract
After 9/11 foresight studies show a shift in security thinking away from a focus on state-centric threats towards a much broader view of security risks recently. This expanded perspective includes risks presented by the vulnerability of European society to the failure of critical infrastructure, to pandemics, environmental change and resource-based conflicts. The chapter places a particular emphasis on the treatment of technological change in these defence and security foresight studies and argues that the growing importance of dual-use technologies is likely to mean that defence will play a declining role as a sponsor and lead user of advanced technologies in the future.
Concluding remarks
Rémi Barré has rightly observed that “The objective, themes and content of a foresight have specific meaning and Nowhere is more true than in the field of defence and security foresight. Defence and security represent distinct epistemic and policy communities. Risk is the lens through which these policy communities view the world and this is reflected in the often pessimistic character of the visions of the future that emerge from defence and security foresight exercises. Many of the foresight exercises are essentially closed activities that draw upon expertise from within the policy community (although in some exercises there have been attempts to “reach out” to broader expertise). Like all policy fields, there are strong vested interests, and the proper role of defence and security in Europe is controversial and contested. The meaning and intention of security and defence foresight activities are deserving of further academic scrutiny.
Reference details
DOI
10.1007/978-3-030-04370-4_13
Resource type
Miscellaneous
Year of Publication
2019
ISSN Number
2570-1509
Publication Area
Dual-use cybersecurity
Date Published
2019
How to cite this reference:
James, A. (2019). Defence and Security: New Issues and Impacts. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-04370-4_13 (Original work published 2019)