01005nas a2200121 4500000000100000008004100001260000900042100001700051245004900068856006700117520068500184022001400869 2019 d c20191 aAndrew James00aDefence and Security: New Issues and Impacts uhttps://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-04370-4_133 aAfter 9/11 foresight studies show a shift in security thinking away from a focus on state-centric threats towards a much broader view of security risks recently. This expanded perspective includes risks presented by the vulnerability of European society to the failure of critical infrastructure, to pandemics, environmental change and resource-based conflicts. The chapter places a particular emphasis on the treatment of technological change in these defence and security foresight studies and argues that the growing importance of dual-use technologies is likely to mean that defence will play a declining role as a sponsor and lead user of advanced technologies in the future. a2570-1509